A list of Amory Lovins’ myths, presented by Dave Pollard. I’m struck not by the oil dependency specifics, but by the genericity of the “rational” human behaviour myths. I think this is the same “autistic economics” story from Dave Snowden ?
What, Why & How do we Know ?
A list of Amory Lovins’ myths, presented by Dave Pollard. I’m struck not by the oil dependency specifics, but by the genericity of the “rational” human behaviour myths. I think this is the same “autistic economics” story from Dave Snowden ?
interesting post by dave pollard, much to agree with. I’m more and more of the view that peak oil is survivable, and society will be recognisably the same as now on the other side – with the (admittedly large) difference that there won’t be mass commuting, not on the scale we have now. as the hirsch report put it – it’s not so much an energy crisis as a liquid fuels crisis. I think the recession/depression will eliminate much commuting (as the business models will fail) and when the ‘solutions’ come along – hydrogen? – there won’t be enough of a market to take it up again.
I think that view shows how “chaotic” it really is to “predict” anything here – the relative fit of two or three very complex cycles.